Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.036830 0.043049 0.049485 0.056608 0.064234 0.072124 0.080871
2025-10-26 0.026677 0.035517 0.045237 0.056543 0.069178 0.082729 0.098234
2025-11-02 0.020667 0.030996 0.042962 0.057442 0.074139 0.092496 0.113940
2025-11-09 0.015897 0.026955 0.040439 0.057345 0.077365 0.099826 0.126487
2025-11-16 0.011367 0.022375 0.036607 0.055134 0.077662 0.103430 0.134476
2025-11-23 0.007981 0.018650 0.033341 0.053182 0.077911 0.106686 0.141807
2025-11-30 0.006236 0.016935 0.032444 0.053980 0.081302 0.113476 0.153093
2025-12-07 0.004977 0.015709 0.032039 0.055275 0.085199 0.120785 0.164919
2025-12-14 0.004177 0.015090 0.032385 0.057478 0.090168 0.129335 0.178168
2025-12-21 0.003196 0.013889 0.031747 0.058270 0.093291 0.135613 0.188697
2025-12-28 0.003119 0.014483 0.033804 0.062720 0.101064 0.147527 0.205915
2026-01-04 0.001978 0.012441 0.031631 0.061239 0.101163 0.150042 0.211904
2026-01-11 0.001397 0.011524 0.031243 0.062349 0.104789 0.157117 0.223665
2026-01-18 0.000839 0.010336 0.030301 0.062633 0.107341 0.162905 0.233949
2026-01-25 0.000496 0.009524 0.029901 0.063641 0.110812 0.169814 0.245578
2026-02-01 0.000199 0.008405 0.028812 0.063549 0.112760 0.174783 0.254824
2026-02-08 0.000008 0.006686 0.026340 0.061216 0.111573 0.175721 0.259080
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005261 0.024154 0.059153 0.110640 0.176898 0.263562
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004772 0.023848 0.059997 0.113679 0.183109 0.274213
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004458 0.023884 0.061366 0.117434 0.190231 0.285985
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004402 0.024511 0.063692 0.122529 0.199078 0.299896
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003999 0.024245 0.064527 0.125515 0.205200 0.310428
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004513 0.026295 0.069217 0.133958 0.218380 0.329729